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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −13.67$

Invest at least 29.12$

Average return 15.45$

ROI −46.9%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 29.12 $, profit at most −13.67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

3.83 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

×9

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

7.92 $

at 0.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.76 $ +3.69 (+31.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

6.09 $

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

11.49 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

×5

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

4.40 $

at 0.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.99 $ +0.71 (+3.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

3.05 $

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

7.66 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

×7

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

6.16 $

at 0.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.87 $ +2.20 (+13.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

6.09 $

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

15.32 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Snake Song

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

0.44 $

at 0.44

Steam

×3

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2.64 $

at 0.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.50 $ +0.01 (+0.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3.05 $

at 3.05

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

11.49 $

at 3.83

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Snake Song

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

0.44 $

at 0.44

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

4.40 $

at 0.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.38 $ +1.51 (+7.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.96 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.87 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.22 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

39.40 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

36.67 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

33.49 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build