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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −0.62$

Invest at least 1.10$

Average return 0.48$

ROI −56.7%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 1.10 $, profit at most −0.62 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.04 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.29 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×4

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.12 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.46 $ +0.02 (+4.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

0.04 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

0.41 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×2

P250 | Plum Netting

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

0.07 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.52 $ +0.08 (+16.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

0.04 $

at 0.04

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

0.35 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×2

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

0.06 $

at 0.03

Steam

×1

P250 | Plum Netting

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

0.04 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.49 $ +0.05 (+10.6%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

Order

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074468

0.63 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.78 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.65 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.36 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104255

0.06 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.07 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Robin's Egg

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.07 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ocean Topo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.21 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.09 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Sour Grapes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119148

0.10 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.101042

0.06 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111702

0.10 $ 4.44%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089361

0.07 $ 4.44%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.07 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

More

How to build