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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit · with float +0.14$

Invest 0.83$

Average return 0.97$

ROI +16.4%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest 0.83 $, profit +0.14 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 74 contracts · easy (estimate)

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1187

0.20 $

at 0.07

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0426

0.40 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

×4

P90 | Sand Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1187

0.13 $

at 0.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.72 $ +0.25 (+33.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1.47 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.57 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.43 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

1.36 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

0.27 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

0.18 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

0.15 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

0.17 $ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

0.38 $ 8.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) × 3 61% of the wear range fits ×1.14 0.20 → 0.22 $

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) × 3 61% of the wear range fits ×1.14 0.40 → 0.45 $

P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear) × 4 61% of the wear range fits ×1.20 0.13 → 0.16 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.058333, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.054833, 0.146333, 0.146333, 0.146333, 0.146333, 0.069999

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Harlequin Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2761398 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 0.31$ · invest 0.44$
UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear), Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New), P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear); Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.118712
Craft 2763734 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 0.29$ · invest 0.57$
rare inputs

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear), Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New), P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Drift Wood: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; FAMAS | CaliCamo: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074055 instead of 0.118712
Craft 2764165 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 0.29$ · invest 0.48$
Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New), P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear); Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.118712
Craft 2763772 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 0.26$ · invest 0.83$
цена ненадёжна

P250 | Plum Netting (Factory New) instead of P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear); Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.119872 instead of 0.118712; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.043638 instead of 0.042623
Craft 2764164 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 0.25$ · invest 0.85$
цена ненадёжна

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Sand Spray (Minimal Wear); Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.118344 instead of 0.118712; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 3; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.042301 instead of 0.042623

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build