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The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −27 083.51₸

Invest at least 49 904.35₸

Average return 22 820.84₸

ROI −54.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 49 904.35 ₸, profit at most −27 083.51 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5 305.37 ₸

at 5 305.37

Steam

×9

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

14 617.77 ₸

at 1 624.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 923.14 ₸ +2 897.70 (+14.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 565 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3 669.46 ₸

at 3 669.46

Steam

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

5 305.37 ₸

at 5 305.37

Steam

×8

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

12 993.57 ₸

at 1 624.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 968.41 ₸ +793.19 (+3.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

18 133.15 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Falak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

34 490.89 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

35 679.70 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092999

22 244.07 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170999

18 969.80 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

Variant 2 The Breakout Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 5 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +548.78 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 084.16 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Arabesque Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build