to all crafts

The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −297.19₴

Invest at least 653.51₴

Average return 356.32₴

ROI −45.5%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 653.51 ₴, profit at most −297.19 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

66.86 ₴

at 66.86

Steam

×3

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

41.38 ₴

at 13.79

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

165.57 ₴

at 27.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.81 ₴ +82.51 (+30.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −126 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1753

133.72 ₴

at 66.86

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

91.79 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

×7

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

193.16 ₴

at 27.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 418.67 ₴ +38.98 (+9.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

133.72 ₴

at 66.86

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

13.28 ₴

at 13.28

Steam

×7

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

193.16 ₴

at 27.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 340.16 ₴ +66.83 (+19.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −207 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

66.86 ₴

at 66.86

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

275.37 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

14.95 ₴

at 14.95

Steam

×5

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

137.97 ₴

at 27.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 495.15 ₴ +13.16 (+2.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

371.17 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Factory New

float up to 0.067529

357.67 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

325.69 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.036235

1 510.39 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.057646

781.97 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.049411

1 010.26 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.047764

842.15 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.032941

525.90 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +56.17 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2778019 · The Chroma Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 75.63₴ · invest 237.10₴
MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.164849; Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004519

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build