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The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −67.70$

Invest at least 125.45$

Average return 57.75$

ROI −54.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 125.45 $, profit at most −67.70 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

11.70 $

at 11.70

Steam

×7

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0796

26.73 $

at 3.82

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

14.49 $

at 7.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.92 $ +4.83 (+9.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

23.40 $

at 11.70

Steam

×7

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

26.73 $

at 3.82

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

7.25 $

at 7.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.37 $ +1.77 (+3.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85.93 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

43.70 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

78.68 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

77.31 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

86.38 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.93 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.35 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2769723 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 5.14$ · invest 48.71$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078266 instead of 0.079683; XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New): float at most 0.007233 instead of 0.008473

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build