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The 2021 Train Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −359.87₴

Invest at least 761.42₴

Average return 401.55₴

ROI −47.3%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 761.42 ₴, profit at most −359.87 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

66.86 ₴

at 66.86

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

90.46 ₴

at 18.09

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

166.42 ₴

at 41.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 323.73 ₴ +77.81 (+24.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

183.58 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

90.46 ₴

at 18.09

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

124.81 ₴

at 41.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 398.85 ₴ +48.33 (+12.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −145 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

275.37 ₴

at 91.79

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

72.37 ₴

at 18.09

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

124.81 ₴

at 41.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 472.55 ₴ +20.27 (+4.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 22%

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 040.04 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

107.03 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

134.93 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355.18 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.034222

1 510.39 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

781.97 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

1 010.26 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.045111

842.15 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

525.90 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +51.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build