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The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −247.96₴

Invest at least 634.37₴

Average return 386.42₴

ROI −39.1%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 634.37 ₴, profit at most −247.96 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1033

180.42 ₴

at 180.42

souvenirSteam

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

93.03 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.45 ₴ +112.97 (+41.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −445 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

162.90 ₴

at 162.90

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1042

902.10 ₴

at 180.42

souvenirSteam

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

41.35 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 106.35 ₴ +206.26 (+18.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −177 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1039

541.26 ₴

at 180.42

souvenirSteam

×1

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

4.84 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

62.02 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 608.12 ₴ +148.77 (+24.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −701 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1576

145.20 ₴

at 145.20

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1034

1 443.36 ₴

at 180.42

souvenirSteam

×1

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

4.84 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 593.40 ₴ +274.92 (+17.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

268.73 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

202.07 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Gold Brick

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

3 742.48 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

1 855.68 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 486.61 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +51.83 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +100.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build