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The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −86.82₴

Invest at least 209.63₴

Average return 122.81₴

ROI −41.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 209.63 ₴, profit at most −86.82 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

XM1014 | Copperflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

31.47 ₴

at 7.87

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

28.82 ₴

at 9.61

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

31.01 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.30 ₴ +31.51 (+34.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Copperflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

15.74 ₴

at 7.87

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

28.82 ₴

at 9.61

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

4.84 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

41.35 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.74 ₴ +21.60 (+23.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 35%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

211.46 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078358

107.15 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104477

113.16 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104477

80.02 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104477

137.56 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104477

83.65 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104477

80.92 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.67 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2771242 · The Boreal Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 38.41₴ · invest 96.06₴
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074271 instead of 0.074211; MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074271 instead of 0.074211
Craft 2771427 · The Boreal Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 30.87₴ · invest 92.15₴
MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build