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The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −24.61$

Invest at least 78.46$

Average return 53.86$

ROI −31.4%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 78.46 $, profit at most −24.61 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

4.55 $

at 4.55

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

17.55 $

at 2.51

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

10.81 $

at 5.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.91 $ +20.95 (+63.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

9.09 $

at 4.55

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

17.55 $

at 2.51

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

5.41 $

at 5.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.05 $ +18.87 (+58.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

3.98 $

at 1.99

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

18.18 $

at 4.55

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

10.03 $

at 2.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.19 $ +6.99 (+21.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

9.57 $

at 2.39

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

18.18 $

at 4.55

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

5.01 $

at 2.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.76 $ +0.54 (+1.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.82 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

28.11 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Green Energy

Factory New

float up to 0.044117

31.55 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Boreal Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.75 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2789676 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.66$ · invest 34.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077711 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006747 instead of 0.007821
Craft 2796264 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.28$ · invest 34.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078827 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007723 instead of 0.007821
Craft 2791648 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.58$ · invest 38.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007821
Craft 2778179 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.34$ · invest 33.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007821
Craft 2797969 · The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 21.24$ · invest 34.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078348 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007821
Craft 2797265 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.15$ · invest 32.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.007821
Craft 2798047 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 21.03$ · invest 32.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077582 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006634 instead of 0.007821
Craft 2797991 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 20.62$ · invest 35.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.078939; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.007821

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build