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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −112.48₴

Invest at least 216.72₴

Average return 104.25₴

ROI −51.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 216.72 ₴, profit at most −112.48 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

16.21 ₴

at 16.21

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4870

41.59 ₴

at 6.93

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

34.20 ₴

at 11.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.01 ₴ +12.23 (+13.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

16.21 ₴

at 16.21

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Ivory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

18.55 ₴

at 18.55

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4870

41.59 ₴

at 6.93

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

22.80 ₴

at 11.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.16 ₴ +4.57 (+4.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 41%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 5%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

142.52 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

93.43 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

214.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

90.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

61.09 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

107.57 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

121.43 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

111.00 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

118.21 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.58 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2772681 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 12.66₴ · invest 91.48₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P250 | Supernova: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483132 instead of 0.487078; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163855 instead of 0.165505
Craft 2781246 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 12.05₴ · invest 92.33₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488694 instead of 0.487078; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166181 instead of 0.165505

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build