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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −6 404.95₽

Invest at least 11 555.78₽

Average return 5 150.83₽

ROI −55.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 11 555.78 ₽, profit at most −6 404.95 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4939

735.60 ₽

at 367.80

Steam

×3

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1 552.26 ₽

at 517.42

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

2 600.00 ₽

at 520.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 887.86 ₽ +262.97 (+5.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5811

367.80 ₽

at 367.80

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5811

485.01 ₽

at 485.01

Steam

×8

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0890

4 160.00 ₽

at 520.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 012.81 ₽ +494.24 (+9.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5575

367.80 ₽

at 367.80

Steam

×5

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1949

2 587.10 ₽

at 517.42

Steam

×4

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0856

2 080.00 ₽

at 520.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 034.90 ₽ +26.88 (+0.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5187

735.60 ₽

at 367.80

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1787

1 034.84 ₽

at 517.42

Steam

×6

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0799

3 120.00 ₽

at 520.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 890.44 ₽ +349.45 (+7.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 25%
About break-even 25%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

5 185.09 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

5 637.71 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

5 918.59 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6 952.44 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −342.36 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +119.07 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2778468 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 298.21₽ · invest 4 914.00₽
rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred), P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.149147 instead of 0.076392
Craft 2782459 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 287.24₽ · invest 4 863.60₽
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred), P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 5; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.150000 instead of 0.076392
Craft 2782292 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 247.91₽ · invest 4 631.30₽
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred), Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred), P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074855 instead of 0.076392

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build