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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −1.54$

Invest at least 3.79$

Average return 2.25$

ROI −40.6%

Chance of profit 12%

With float: invest at least 3.79 $, profit at most −1.54 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

0.76 $

at 0.25

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

0.51 $

at 0.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.37 $

at 0.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.64 $ +0.62 (+37.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 56%
About break-even 14%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

1.47 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.42 $ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.83 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

1.35 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.29 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

6.26 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.88 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

9.56 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.45 $ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.89 $ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2780986 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 0.64$ · invest 1.58$
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167666 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2778412 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.61$ · invest 2.46$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161572 instead of 0.168399
Craft 2781603 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 0.55$ · invest 1.73$
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build