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The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −112.30₴

Invest at least 326.64₴

Average return 214.34₴

ROI −34.4%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 326.64 ₴, profit at most −112.30 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

93.03 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

37.95 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130.98 ₴ +83.36 (+63.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

72.36 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

19.83 ₴

at 19.83

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

75.90 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 168.09 ₴ +72.59 (+43.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

41.35 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

59.50 ₴

at 19.83

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

113.86 ₴

at 37.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.70 ₴ +65.47 (+30.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

268.73 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176.26 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

202.07 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

401.00 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

364.55 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +60.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79.11 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2781293 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 92.25₴ · invest 134.08₴
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2781467 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 91.00₴ · invest 120.62₴
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2770078 · The Ascent Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 88.43₴ · invest 132.14₴
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2781672 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 87.84₴ · invest 120.31₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2776495 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 87.23₴ · invest 117.43₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076552 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2781586 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 86.91₴ · invest 125.60₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2781024 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 86.56₴ · invest 124.64₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2781184 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 86.54₴ · invest 115.21₴
P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2773575 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 83.72₴ · invest 120.43₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2779826 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 83.51₴ · invest 108.32₴
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076779
Craft 2781518 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 83.43₴ · invest 114.19₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076779

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build