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The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −81.27₴

Invest at least 178.72₴

Average return 97.45₴

ROI −45.5%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 178.72 ₴, profit at most −81.27 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

38.72 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

10.34 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

25.98 ₴

at 25.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.03 ₴ +22.42 (+29.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

33.88 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

10.34 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

21.83 ₴

at 21.83

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

25.98 ₴

at 25.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.02 ₴ +16.74 (+18.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

29.04 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

10.34 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

43.66 ₴

at 21.83

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

25.98 ₴

at 25.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.01 ₴ +11.05 (+10.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

24.20 ₴

at 4.84

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

10.34 ₴

at 10.34

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

65.49 ₴

at 21.83

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

25.98 ₴

at 25.98

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.00 ₴ +5.37 (+4.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

113.16 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.02 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

137.56 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

83.65 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.92 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | PAW

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

160.14 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

285.01 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | High Seas

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

212.63 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

233.76 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

253.99 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.05 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.87 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2781867 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 23.67₴ · invest 66.16₴
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2781119 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 22.40₴ · invest 66.63₴
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164743 instead of 0.164697; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075128 instead of 0.075112
Craft 2778405 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 22.19₴ · invest 59.51₴
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166225 instead of 0.164697; UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075643 instead of 0.075112

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build