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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −153.30₴

Invest at least 287.11₴

Average return 133.81₴

ROI −53.4%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 287.11 ₴, profit at most −153.30 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4899

41.59 ₴

at 6.93

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

34.20 ₴

at 11.40

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

48.80 ₴

at 48.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124.60 ₴ +9.21 (+7.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 57%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

142.52 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

93.43 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

214.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

90.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

61.09 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107399

394.10 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

327.79 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Field-Tested

float up to 0.258399

967.00 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

129.26 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.34 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2781753 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 8.76₴ · invest 111.81₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.509468 instead of 0.489919; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174868 instead of 0.166693
Craft 2777683 · The Chroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 8.74₴ · invest 100.80₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.489919; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.166693

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build