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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float +170.56₴

Invest 2 932.58₴

Average return 3 103.13₴

ROI +5.8%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 2 932.58 ₴, profit +170.56 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 48 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

any lot

2 516.89 ₴

at 279.65

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

any lot

289.85 ₴

at 289.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 806.73 ₴ +296.40 (+10.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×7

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0786

1 957.58 ₴

at 279.65

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3875

419.44 ₴

at 209.72

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1747

229.99 ₴

at 229.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 607.01 ₴ +304.37 (+11.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

3 618.74 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120000

3 739.00 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

2 903.99 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

2 248.55 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −105.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +186.07 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2782805 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 297.53₴ · invest 2 995.53₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.135590 instead of 0.150000
Craft 2779895 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 294.99₴ · invest 2 810.38₴
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.136585 instead of 0.150000
Craft 2782729 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 293.35₴ · invest 2 800.39₴
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2777719 · The Chroma Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 291.46₴ · invest 3 148.26₴
rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.140624 instead of 0.150000
Craft 2781003 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 283.36₴ · invest 3 015.99₴
P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2773633 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 280.01₴ · invest 2 793.48₴
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.139477 instead of 0.150000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build