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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float +1.32$

Invest 60.30$

Average return 61.62$

ROI +2.2%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest 60.30 $, profit +1.32 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 54 contracts · easy (by listings)

×8

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

any lot

49.77 $

at 6.22

Steam

×1

USP-S | Jawbreaker

Field-Tested

any lot

3.97 $

at 3.97

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Minimal Wear

any lot

4.45 $

at 4.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.19 $ +3.44 (+5.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5991

5.80 $

at 5.80

Steam

×7

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0916

43.55 $

at 6.22

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.2123

7.01 $

at 3.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.37 $ +5.26 (+9.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.180388

70.81 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144310

83.18 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Inheritance

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143831

59.01 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Field-Tested

float up to 0.180388

33.72 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2778468 · The Clutch Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 3.57$ · invest 58.79$
rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.149147 instead of 0.150000
Craft 2781006 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 3.15$ · invest 58.48$
rare inputs

P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred), P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 8; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076392 instead of 0.150000
Craft 2782292 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 2.97$ · invest 55.41$
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred), Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) instead of USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074855 instead of 0.150000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build