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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit · with float +0.34$

Invest 71.94$

Average return 72.29$

ROI +0.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest 71.94 $, profit +0.34 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

72% of lots fit ≈ enough for 41 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1447

55.99 $

at 6.22

Steam

×1

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.1453

12.01 $

at 12.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.00 $ +4.29 (+6.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 50%

about break-even

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

80.50 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

83.18 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.294799

109.04 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.72 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.88 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2782675 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.61$ · invest 61.74$
rare inputs

AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); AK-47 | Nightwish: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.150000 instead of 0.144713
Craft 2776554 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4.46$ · invest 67.96$
rare inputs

AUG | Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); AK-47 | Nightwish: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.150000 instead of 0.144713
Craft 2782290 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 4.45$ · invest 67.95$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.150000 instead of 0.144713
Craft 2782731 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.43$ · invest 59.48$
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); AK-47 | Nightwish: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.150000 instead of 0.144713
Craft 2782173 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 4.33$ · invest 64.96$
rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.146341 instead of 0.144713
Craft 2782866 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.25$ · invest 69.66$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.148351 instead of 0.144713

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build