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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit · with float +0.12$

Invest 59.03$

Average return 59.16$

ROI +0.2%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest 59.03 $, profit +0.12 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 46 contracts · easy (by listings)

×4

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

any lot

23.21 $

at 5.80

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

any lot

31.11 $

at 6.22

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XOXO

Well-Worn

any lot

3.75 $

at 3.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.06 $ +1.09 (+1.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.525000

66.51 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.420000

77.50 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | In Living Color

Well-Worn

float up to 0.414750

32.83 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | The Traitor

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.525000

31.70 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2782603 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1.10$ · invest 64.62$
rare inputs

P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Well-Worn); AK-47 | Nightwish: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; MP9 | Starlight Protector: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484485 instead of 1.000000; Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075016 instead of 0.150000
Craft 2782128 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1.05$ · invest 58.50$
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | XOXO (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build