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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float +2.24$

Invest at least 51.69$

Average return 53.93$

ROI +4.3%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 51.69 $, profit at most +2.24 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

0.55 $

at 0.28

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

19.49 $

at 2.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.04 $ +33.89 (+169.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 73%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

9.00 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

13.59 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

208.47 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.007127

1.41 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

3.10 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

2.00 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.008085

2.35 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

1.14 $ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.41 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.95 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2798319 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 34.30$ · invest 20.39$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007229 instead of 0.007478
Craft 2776254 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 34.17$ · invest 20.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004255 instead of 0.007478
Craft 2786024 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.96$ · invest 20.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007837 instead of 0.007478
Craft 2792651 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.92$ · invest 20.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007834 instead of 0.007478

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build