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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −77.99₴

Invest at least 164.60₴

Average return 86.61₴

ROI −47.4%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 164.60 ₴, profit at most −77.99 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

21.25 ₴

at 21.25

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

31.51 ₴

at 4.50

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

17.35 ₴

at 8.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.11 ₴ +16.50 (+23.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 18%
About break-even 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085499

89.46 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119849

79.17 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

80.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.142582

75.97 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

85.88 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

146.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

188.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

639.40 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

206.72 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

100.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.92 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.35 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2784491 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 16.68₴ · invest 58.75₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested)
Craft 2785130 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 15.99₴ · invest 65.71₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161972 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074164 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2773693 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 15.45₴ · invest 58.78₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build