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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit at most · with float −271.09₴

Invest at least 509.67₴

Average return 238.58₴

ROI −53.2%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 509.67 ₴, profit at most −271.09 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

36.19 ₴

at 36.19

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

76.69 ₴

at 19.17

Steam

×5

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

101.27 ₴

at 20.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.15 ₴ +24.43 (+11.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3845

36.19 ₴

at 36.19

Steam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

48.63 ₴

at 48.63

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

115.03 ₴

at 19.17

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

40.51 ₴

at 20.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 240.36 ₴ +17.29 (+7.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3841

72.38 ₴

at 36.19

Steam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

48.63 ₴

at 48.63

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

19.17 ₴

at 19.17

Steam

×6

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

121.52 ₴

at 20.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 261.70 ₴ +15.03 (+5.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

72.38 ₴

at 36.19

Steam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

97.26 ₴

at 48.63

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

76.69 ₴

at 19.17

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Allure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

40.51 ₴

at 20.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 286.83 ₴ +8.97 (+3.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 63%
Losing outcome 37%

in profit

Glock-18 | Vogue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

289.50 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.145999

261.06 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

206.72 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

210.04 ₴ 3.33%

inflated price

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.063999

1 010.11 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

195.17 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.72 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.29 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build