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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −256.82₴

Invest at least 443.88₴

Average return 187.05₴

ROI −57.9%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 443.88 ₴, profit at most −256.82 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3874

82.66 ₴

at 16.53

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

85.01 ₴

at 21.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1745

17.89 ₴

at 17.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.57 ₴ +1.48 (+0.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.173076

89.28 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

80.13 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

639.40 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144230

206.72 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.287115

100.70 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144230

371.08 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

83.62 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Field-Tested

float up to 0.201923

74.22 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.230769

88.96 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

91.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −21.97 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build