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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −101.37₴

Invest at least 213.62₴

Average return 112.25₴

ROI −47.5%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 213.62 ₴, profit at most −101.37 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

31.61 ₴

at 31.61

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Irezumi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

6.00 ₴

at 6.00

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

51.11 ₴

at 6.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 88.73 ₴ +23.53 (+26.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −124 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

142.14 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

126.45 ₴

at 31.61

Steam

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

5.38 ₴

at 5.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 273.96 ₴ +6.43 (+2.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −106 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

142.14 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

94.84 ₴

at 31.61

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

12.78 ₴

at 6.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 249.75 ₴ +9.63 (+3.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

85.28 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

94.84 ₴

at 31.61

Steam

×2

Nova | Dark Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

10.76 ₴

at 5.38

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

12.78 ₴

at 6.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.65 ₴ +13.69 (+6.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

85.28 ₴

at 28.43

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

63.22 ₴

at 31.61

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

31.95 ₴

at 6.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 180.45 ₴ +15.88 (+8.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

108.22 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.047031

80.62 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Etch Lord

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

161.00 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Just Smile

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120.24 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.043320

54.56 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

246.79 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

831.86 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

368.90 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

236.96 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

48.63 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.65 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2792420 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 24.80₴ · invest 84.40₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074765 instead of 0.074992; SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074765 instead of 0.074992
Craft 2776929 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 24.20₴ · invest 81.51₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074795 instead of 0.074992; SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074795 instead of 0.074992

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build