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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit at most · with float −2 505.05₴

Invest at least 8 187.65₴

Average return 5 682.61₴

ROI −30.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 8 187.65 ₴, profit at most −2 505.05 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

676.19 ₴

at 225.40

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

895.62 ₴

at 447.81

Steam

×5

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

1 894.79 ₴

at 378.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 466.60 ₴ +2 216.00 (+63.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1746

225.40 ₴

at 225.40

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

799.32 ₴

at 199.83

Steam

×5

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

1 894.79 ₴

at 378.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 919.50 ₴ +1 028.55 (+35.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

450.79 ₴

at 225.40

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

1 791.25 ₴

at 447.81

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

1 515.83 ₴

at 378.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 757.87 ₴ +2 358.37 (+62.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 25%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 215.43 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 841.39 ₴ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Inheritance

Factory New

float up to 0.055814

4 799.22 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 283.94 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Recoil Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 435.66 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 972.31 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2784069 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2 360.84₴ · invest 3 468.57₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168740 instead of 0.168434; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076518 instead of 0.076412
Craft 2783622 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 2 061.94₴ · invest 2 644.40₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.168434
Craft 2784098 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 010.70₴ · invest 3 486.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear), AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164300 instead of 0.168434; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074974 instead of 0.076412

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build