to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −5.71$

Invest at least 9.88$

Average return 4.17$

ROI −57.8%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 9.88 $, profit at most −5.71 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3888

1.84 $

at 0.37

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1791

1.89 $

at 0.47

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1791

0.40 $

at 0.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.13 $ +0.04 (+1.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.173076

1.99 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

1.78 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

14.22 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144230

4.60 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.287115

2.24 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Field-Tested

float up to 0.259615

5.14 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

2.59 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178846

2.28 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.259615

3.17 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2773669 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 0.04$ · invest 3.95$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn): float at most 0.390948 instead of 0.388859; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.185974 instead of 0.179108

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build