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The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −29.15₴

Invest at least 63.88₴

Average return 34.74₴

ROI −45.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 63.88 ₴, profit at most −29.15 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1.70 ₴

at 1.70

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

6.44 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×2

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

3.81 ₴

at 1.90

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2091

15.75 ₴

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.70 ₴ +7.04 (+25.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

23.40 ₴

at 2.93

Steam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

7.64 ₴

at 7.64

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2179

3.94 ₴

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.98 ₴ +4.49 (+12.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

2.15 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×7

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

20.48 ₴

at 2.93

Steam

×2

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2118

7.87 ₴

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.50 ₴ +8.02 (+26.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

8.58 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

8.78 ₴

at 2.93

Steam

×3

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2109

11.81 ₴

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.17 ₴ +8.41 (+28.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Picnic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

1.70 ₴

at 1.70

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

10.73 ₴

at 2.15

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2091

15.75 ₴

at 3.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.18 ₴ +8.45 (+30.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 15%

in profit

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Factory New

float up to 0.064615

34.18 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

27.54 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.096922

49.82 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107692

30.82 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

113.66 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075384

34.49 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.071076

18.88 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075384

18.88 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1.70 → 3.68 ₴

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 6.44 → 14.55 ₴

Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 3.81 → 8.41 ₴

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 15.75 → 37.24 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.107692208

outcomes come out up to 0.064615, 0.053846, 0.096922, 0.107692, 0.069999, 0.075384, 0.071076, 0.075384

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 only The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.37 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2761708 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 6.00₴ · invest 23.40₴
R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested), MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163394 instead of 0.161746; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 3; SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163394 instead of 0.161746

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build