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The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −19.39₴

Invest at least 35.27₴

Average return 15.88₴

ROI −55.0%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 35.27 ₴, profit at most −19.39 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

10.84 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1.77 ₴

at 1.77

Steam

×1

MP7 | Army Recon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.56 ₴

at 1.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.17 ₴ +1.70 (+12.0%)

What you get 11 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 82%

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

11.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

11.36 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57.99 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

8.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

7.20 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Condemned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7.05 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

13.44 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

9.44 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

7.54 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Orange Peel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7.87 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

7.24 ₴ 1.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Vertigo Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.45 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2790497 · The Harlequin Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1.66₴ · invest 14.13₴
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076514 instead of 0.075431; FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New): float at most 0.005700 instead of 0.004752
Craft 2762414 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.64₴ · invest 14.71₴
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear); MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076359 instead of 0.075431; FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New): float at most 0.005564 instead of 0.004752

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 11 outcomes

More

How to build