to all crafts

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −10.71$

Invest at least 44.11$

Average return 33.39$

ROI −24.3%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 44.11 $, profit at most −10.71 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

3.01 $

at 1.51

Steam

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

7.52 $

at 2.51

Steam

×5

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

8.28 $

at 1.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.81 $ +14.58 (+77.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121.00 $ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

46.82 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

28.11 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

2.54 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Food Chain

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

15.92 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | XOXO

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

16.03 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2782851 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 19.09$ · invest 16.22$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162852 instead of 0.164529; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074470 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2797876 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 18.58$ · invest 24.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166206 instead of 0.164529; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075636 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2786803 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 18.05$ · invest 24.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear), P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074617 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2792481 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.76$ · invest 16.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164218 instead of 0.164529; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074945 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2774228 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.59$ · invest 20.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear), M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074617 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2779237 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 17.04$ · invest 18.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163464 instead of 0.164529; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074683 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2795889 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.81$ · invest 20.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165258 instead of 0.164529; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075307 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2788309 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.67$ · invest 25.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear), P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested), Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078635 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2785026 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.65$ · invest 19.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164994 instead of 0.164529; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075215 instead of 0.075053
Craft 2796565 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 16.22$ · invest 17.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)
Craft 2780658 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 14.77$ · invest 21.00$
outcome at usual price sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of Negev | dev_texture (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build