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The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −2 023.61₸

Invest at least 5 429.83₸

Average return 3 406.27₸

ROI −37.3%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 5 429.83 ₸, profit at most −2 023.61 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 460.08 ₸

at 182.51

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

419.71 ₸

at 419.71

Steam

×1

P250 | Small Game

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

343.37 ₸

at 343.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 223.16 ₸ +1 183.11 (+53.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1 277.57 ₸

at 182.51

Steam

×1

P250 | Small Game

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

172.53 ₸

at 172.53

Steam

×2

P250 | Small Game

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

686.74 ₸

at 343.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 136.84 ₸ +900.94 (+42.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 52%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 492.09 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1 079.76 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

1 361.17 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 583.14 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1 410.98 ₸ 3.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

2 633.64 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

float up to 0.052888

1 986.78 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +563.05 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +985.30 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2791137 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 253.53₸ · invest 2 293.91₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P250 | Small Game (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075761 instead of 0.075982; MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): float at most 0.005041 instead of 0.005234
Craft 2784149 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1 204.58₸ · invest 2 198.69₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P250 | Small Game (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build