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The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit at most · with float −551.15₴

Invest at least 1 631.31₴

Average return 1 080.16₴

ROI −33.8%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 631.31 ₴, profit at most −551.15 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

548.42 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

63.90 ₴

at 63.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 646.06 ₴ +434.10 (+67.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

59.70 ₴

at 59.70

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

411.32 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

191.70 ₴

at 63.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 662.72 ₴ +270.92 (+40.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

59.70 ₴

at 59.70

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

342.76 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

255.60 ₴

at 63.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 658.06 ₴ +202.30 (+30.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

59.70 ₴

at 59.70

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

274.21 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

319.50 ₴

at 63.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 653.41 ₴ +133.69 (+20.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

59.70 ₴

at 59.70

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

205.66 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×6

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

383.41 ₴

at 63.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 648.76 ₴ +65.08 (+10.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

338.95 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

3 470.40 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 242.06 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

254.35 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081499

310.17 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

982.23 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

374.27 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

268.90 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +209.04 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +331.60 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2767781 · The Ancient Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 480.86₴ · invest 762.58₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166177 instead of 0.162887; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075627 instead of 0.074482
Craft 2798963 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 464.61₴ · invest 642.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.162887; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.074482
Craft 2790301 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 444.78₴ · invest 628.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161818 instead of 0.162887; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.074482
Craft 2769844 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 443.42₴ · invest 731.55₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163150 instead of 0.162887; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074574 instead of 0.074482
Craft 2789827 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 435.61₴ · invest 622.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168561 instead of 0.162887; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076456 instead of 0.074482
Craft 2791781 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 435.20₴ · invest 645.33₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161805 instead of 0.162887; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074106 instead of 0.074482

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build