to all crafts

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit at most · with float −649.94₴

Invest at least 1 731.13₴

Average return 1 081.19₴

ROI −37.5%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 1 731.13 ₴, profit at most −649.94 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

548.42 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

110.11 ₴

at 110.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 692.27 ₴ +388.92 (+56.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

411.32 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

110.11 ₴

at 110.11

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

363.01 ₴

at 121.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 884.44 ₴ +84.65 (+9.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

33.74 ₴

at 33.74

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

479.87 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

110.11 ₴

at 110.11

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

121.00 ₴

at 121.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 744.72 ₴ +299.11 (+40.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 51%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

338.95 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 470.40 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 242.06 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

93.95 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

230.55 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

1 685.17 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

1 732.95 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.006999

457.27 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124749

177.32 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +162.13 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +286.33 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2798964 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 431.44₴ · invest 618.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested)
Craft 2794383 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 425.92₴ · invest 620.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164540 instead of 0.168561; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075057 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2768583 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 423.76₴ · invest 636.34₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested)
Craft 2798156 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 416.31₴ · invest 615.85₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166424 instead of 0.168561; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075712 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2764870 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 413.98₴ · invest 673.95₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171852 instead of 0.168561; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077600 instead of 0.076456
Craft 2799003 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 399.38₴ · invest 707.24₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166940 instead of 0.168561; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075892 instead of 0.076456

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build