The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit at most · with float −60 211.39₸

Invest at least 431 360.84₸

Average return 371 149.45₸

ROI −14.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 431 360.84 ₸, profit at most −60 211.39 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −19 007.39 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

145 149.82 ₸

at 36 287.46

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

40 778.48 ₸

at 40 778.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 185 928.30 ₸ +185 221.16 (+99.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 654 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

108 862.37 ₸

at 36 287.46

Steam

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

81 556.96 ₸

at 40 778.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 190 419.32 ₸ +123 945.85 (+65.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 988 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

72 574.91 ₸

at 36 287.46

Steam

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

122 335.44 ₸

at 40 778.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 194 910.35 ₸ +62 670.55 (+32.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −140 321 ₸

2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

36 287.46 ₸

at 36 287.46

Steam

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

163 113.91 ₸

at 40 778.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 199 401.37 ₸ +1 395.25 (+0.7%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 280.24 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

475 702.28 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 826.74 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87 343.78 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 926.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 349.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440 833.23 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173 666.66 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643 992.82 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

929 650.61 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248 770.34 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 922.89 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 612.17 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 277.55 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

544 410.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 790.08 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563 121.63 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 630 243.87 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

935 564.12 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311 536.87 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 120.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 636.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 159.72 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 242.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

91 166.50 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

113 373.57 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

134 767.97 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

662 512.85 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

504 017.02 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

95 879.70 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222 215.10 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 226.08 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 888.34 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

46 936.88 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +163 655.64 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +181 408.58 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2799961 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 205 438.73₸ · invest 171 147.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2799963 · The Clutch Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 205 438.73₸ · invest 171 147.71₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800033 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 199 636.17₸ · invest 194 798.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800034 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 199 636.17₸ · invest 194 798.04₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800001 · The Phoenix Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 198 340.48₸ · invest 196 093.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800002 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 198 340.48₸ · invest 196 093.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2799761 · The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 198 059.30₸ · invest 173 181.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2799762 · The CS20 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 198 059.30₸ · invest 173 181.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008286 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2799977 · The Fracture Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 196 941.98₸ · invest 171 651.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2799978 · The Clutch Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 196 941.98₸ · invest 171 651.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800029 · The Vanguard Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 196 705.92₸ · invest 197 728.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800030 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 196 705.92₸ · invest 197 728.29₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2799989 · The Huntsman Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 195 672.77₸ · invest 180 313.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2799990 · The Clutch Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 195 672.77₸ · invest 180 313.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800015 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 194 524.70₸ · invest 199 909.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800016 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 194 524.70₸ · invest 199 909.51₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008756
Craft 2800031 · The Wildfire Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 185 221.15₸ · invest 185 928.30₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build