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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.21$

Invest 1.30$

Average return 1.51$

ROI +16.1%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest 1.50 $, profit +0.01 $

float premium: 0 $ (4.1%)

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈21% of lots fit ≈ enough for 68 contracts · easy (estimate)

×1

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0505

0.18 $

at 0.18

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1277

0.06 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0505

1.06 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1.30 $ +0.21 (+16.1%)

≈20% of lots fit ≈ enough for 77 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0504

0.36 $

at 0.18

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1276

0.06 $

at 0.06

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0504

0.93 $

at 0.13

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1.35 $ +0.19 (+14.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 22%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1.41 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.55 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2.43 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

1.40 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1.37 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

3.47 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

1.23 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

2.26 $ 2.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) × 1 72% of the wear range fits ×1.05 0.18 → 0.19 $

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear) × 1 72% of the wear range fits ×1.03 0.06 → 0.06 $

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) × 8 72% of the wear range fits ×1.18 1.06 → 1.25 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.058333, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.054833, 0.055999, 0.058333, 0.058333, 0.058333

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.10 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2811706 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 0.19$ · invest 1.44$
rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New); Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.128390 instead of 0.127724; Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.051091 instead of 0.050508

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build