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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit · by float −3.58₴ by average prices it would be +5.60

Invest 41.48₴

Average return 37.90₴

ROI −8.6% market check 18.10 15:35 MSK

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest 38.73 ₴, profit −0.82 ₴

float premium: 1 ₴ (3.8%)

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈8% of lots fit ≈ enough for 70 contracts · easy (estimate)

×2

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1182

5.85 ₴

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0422

17.88 ₴

at 5.96

souvenirSteam

×5

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0422

8.58 ₴

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 32.31 ₴ +5.60 (+17.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

10.35 ₴

at 2.59

souvenirSteam

×4

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

5.42 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

3.43 ₴

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.20 ₴ +13.02 (+67.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

2.06 ₴

at 2.06

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

5.17 ₴

at 2.59

souvenirSteam

×4

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

5.42 ₴

at 1.36

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5.15 ₴

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.80 ₴ +8.73 (+49.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

10.35 ₴

at 2.59

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

8.78 ₴

at 2.93

souvenirSteam

×3

Galil AR | Grey Smoke

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

5.15 ₴

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.27 ₴ +25.01 (+103.0%)

What you get 13 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

Order

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

63.50 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

69.68 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

109.12 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.046999

62.82 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.19 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

13.04 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Robin's Egg

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

10.83 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Ocean Topo

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

20.69 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

12.63 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Sour Grapes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

4.33 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Turquoise Pour

Factory New

float up to 0.067843

7.38 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Electric Blue

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

3.90 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

7.13 ₴ 5.56%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) × 2 60% of the wear range fits ×1.29 5.85 → 7.57 ₴

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) × 3 60% of the wear range fits ×1.14 17.88 → 20.38 ₴

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) × 5 60% of the wear range fits ×1.26 8.58 → 10.77 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.099999900

outcomes come out up to 0.049999, 0.059999, 0.059999, 0.046999, 0.069999, 0.059999, 0.059999, 0.059999, 0.059999, 0.079999, 0.067843, 0.074999, 0.059999

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.05 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.75 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 13 outcomes

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How to build