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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −33.95₴

Invest at least 67.23₴

Average return 33.28₴

ROI −50.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 67.23 ₴, profit at most −33.95 ₴

float premium: at least 31 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

13.44 ₴

at 13.44

souvenirSteam

×9

Negev | Sour Grapes

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

14.52 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.97 ₴ +5.31 (+19.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

13.44 ₴

at 13.44

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

13.90 ₴

at 13.90

souvenirSteam

×7

Negev | Sour Grapes

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

11.29 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.71 ₴

at 2.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.35 ₴ +3.26 (+7.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

41.71 ₴

at 13.90

souvenirSteam

×6

Negev | Sour Grapes

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

9.68 ₴

at 1.61

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Sky Blue

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

2.71 ₴

at 2.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.09 ₴ +1.84 (+3.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

22.74 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

33.44 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

22.05 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Cobalt Paisley

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139285

26.15 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128571

21.87 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107142

101.15 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117857

138.64 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

128.12 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117857

253.99 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Bank Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.28 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2815531 · The Anubis Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 4.96₴ · invest 24.98₴
MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161636 instead of 0.161724

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build