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The Achroma Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +91.70₴

Invest 222.25₴

Average return 313.95₴

ROI +41.3%

Chance of profit 96%

With float: invest at least 530.27 ₴, profit at most −216.32 ₴

float premium: at least 298 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×7

AUG | Creep

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

120.47 ₴

at 17.21

Steam

×2

P90 | Aeolian Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

64.54 ₴

at 32.27

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

37.25 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.25 ₴ +91.70 (+41.3%)

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×7

AUG | Creep

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

120.47 ₴

at 17.21

Steam

×1

P90 | Aeolian Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

32.27 ₴

at 32.27

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

74.50 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 227.23 ₴ +85.26 (+37.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Aeolian Light

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

15.50 ₴

at 15.50

Steam

×2

P2000 | Grip Tape

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

33.07 ₴

at 16.54

Steam

×5

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

133.62 ₴

at 26.72

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

74.50 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.69 ₴ +48.52 (+18.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

AUG | Creep

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

86.05 ₴

at 17.21

Steam

×3

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

80.17 ₴

at 26.72

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

74.50 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 240.71 ₴ +67.41 (+28.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P2000 | Grip Tape

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

49.61 ₴

at 16.54

Steam

×1

AUG | Creep

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

17.21 ₴

at 17.21

Steam

×4

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

106.89 ₴

at 26.72

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

74.50 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 248.21 ₴ +58.46 (+23.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 94%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 2%

in profit

AK-47 | Breakthrough

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

453.86 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Trace Lock

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

271.57 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

263.14 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

808.67 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

373.32 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

238.32 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

46.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Achroma Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +45.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +71.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Achroma Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2814196 · The Achroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 99.13₴ · invest 211.80₴
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074578 instead of 0.076893; P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): float at most 0.004006 instead of 0.006032
Craft 2813871 · The Achroma Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 93.66₴ · invest 229.46₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076632 instead of 0.076893; P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): float at most 0.005803 instead of 0.006032
Craft 2814341 · The Achroma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 89.36₴ · invest 210.32₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075317 instead of 0.076893; P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): float at most 0.004653 instead of 0.006032

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Achroma Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build