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The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +45.58$

Invest 82.19$

Average return 127.77$

ROI +55.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 204.70 $, profit at most −76.93 $

float premium: at least 119 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

24.38 $

at 24.38

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

57.81 $

at 6.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 82.19 $ +45.58 (+55.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

73.13 $

at 24.38

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

4.89 $

at 4.89

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

38.54 $

at 6.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 116.55 $ +32.89 (+28.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

20.92 $

at 20.92

Steam

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

73.13 $

at 24.38

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

38.54 $

at 6.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.59 $ +27.70 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

20.92 $

at 20.92

Steam

×4

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

97.50 $

at 24.38

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

4.89 $

at 4.89

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

25.69 $

at 6.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 149.00 $ +22.13 (+14.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178.41 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90.51 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

222.27 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

296.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +30.51 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +39.83 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2831839 · The Fever Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 49.99$ · invest 72.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2824119 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 47.71$ · invest 78.62$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build