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The Breakout Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −7.86$

Invest at least 16.70$

Average return 8.84$

ROI −47.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 16.70 $, profit at most −7.86 $

float premium: at least 9 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

1.14 $

at 0.57

Steam

×8

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

5.47 $

at 0.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.62 $ +2.23 (+33.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11.79 $ 80.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2.90 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6.49 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

2.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

2.93 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.23 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2818144 · The Ascent Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.90$ · invest 7.13$
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005791 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2831444 · The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.89$ · invest 7.13$
outcome without sales

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2843606 · The Radiant Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.72$ · invest 6.95$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005630 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2814295 · The Achroma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.70$ · invest 6.91$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005855 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2842472 · The Phoenix Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.60$ · invest 6.88$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004415 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2845132 · The Safehouse Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 2.57$ · invest 6.96$
pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2844647 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.50$ · invest 6.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2841978 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.50$ · invest 6.65$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2824701 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 6.42$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005807 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2845125 · The Safehouse Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.31$ · invest 6.60$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Zander (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004151 instead of 0.005405

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build