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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.33$

Invest 3.20$

Average return 5.53$

ROI +72.8%

Chance of profit 84%

With float: invest at least 7.70 $, profit at most −2.17 $

float premium: at least 4 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.82 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

0.97 $

at 0.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.20 $ +2.33 (+72.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.14 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

0.76 $

at 0.76

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.69 $

at 0.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.00 $ +2.56 (+63.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.37 $

at 0.23

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

0.76 $

at 0.76

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

0.41 $

at 0.41

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.13 $

at 0.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.67 $ +2.38 (+64.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 84%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 16%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.06 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.07 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.88 $ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.62 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.26 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

23.85 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.21 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

5.40 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

7.90 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.18 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2828413 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 2.29$ · invest 3.17$
P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074689 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2829105 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 2.16$ · invest 3.01$
pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear), P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2829012 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2.12$ · invest 2.64$
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075728 instead of 0.074772
Craft 2813908 · The Achroma Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 2.10$ · invest 2.91$
P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074369 instead of 0.074772

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build