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The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +34.90₴

Invest 95.53₴

Average return 130.43₴

ROI +36.5%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 236.57 ₴, profit at most −106.13 ₴

float premium: at least 130 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

20.33 ₴

at 20.33

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

4.95 ₴

at 4.95

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

70.26 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.53 ₴ +34.90 (+36.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1723

46.47 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

29.16 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

61.48 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137.10 ₴ +43.17 (+31.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1711

23.23 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

116.64 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

43.91 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.78 ₴ +46.34 (+25.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

46.47 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

58.32 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

52.69 ₴

at 8.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157.48 ₴ +47.72 (+30.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 56%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.056999

188.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079899

88.56 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

85.61 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095054

71.85 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

171.72 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

299.24 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

187.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.051999

1 161.89 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

290.40 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.190999

100.71 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.73 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31.05 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2831941 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 35.61₴ · invest 92.05₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build