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The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +80.59₴

Invest 144.74₴

Average return 225.34₴

ROI +55.7%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 351.46 ₴, profit at most −126.12 ₴

float premium: at least 183 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

29.16 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

90.26 ₴

at 11.28

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

25.32 ₴

at 25.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 144.74 ₴ +80.59 (+55.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

23.23 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

87.48 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

67.70 ₴

at 11.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.41 ₴ +44.98 (+25.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

46.47 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

87.48 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

56.41 ₴

at 11.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.36 ₴ +32.38 (+17.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

69.70 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

87.48 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

45.13 ₴

at 11.28

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 202.31 ₴ +19.77 (+9.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 76%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.64 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

739.57 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.99 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

148.39 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

101.83 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

146.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

187.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077999

639.40 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

188.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.216499

100.71 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +48.28 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2836402 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 86.99₴ · invest 132.43₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163269 instead of 0.164697; StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074615 instead of 0.075112
Craft 2835935 · The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 82.15₴ · invest 144.08₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2836348 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 80.98₴ · invest 146.32₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build