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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +60.77₴

Invest 269.98₴

Average return 330.75₴

ROI +22.5%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 643.08 ₴, profit at most −312.33 ₴

float premium: at least 366 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

116.16 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

116.64 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

37.18 ₴

at 37.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 269.98 ₴ +60.77 (+22.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

116.16 ₴

at 23.23

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

29.16 ₴

at 29.16

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

148.71 ₴

at 37.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 294.03 ₴ +44.70 (+15.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 77%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

146.10 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

187.42 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 161.89 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

290.40 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

100.71 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.221153

263.03 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

630.17 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.167307

222.73 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.051153

515.62 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.69 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +57.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build