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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −227.45₴

Invest at least 525.55₴

Average return 298.10₴

ROI −43.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 525.55 ₴, profit at most −227.45 ₴

float premium: at least 287 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

53.45 ₴

at 26.72

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

131.68 ₴

at 18.81

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

33.17 ₴

at 33.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 218.30 ₴ +79.80 (+36.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

37.25 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

×8

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

150.50 ₴

at 18.81

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

33.17 ₴

at 33.17

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 220.91 ₴ +92.69 (+42.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

53.45 ₴

at 26.72

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

37.25 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

×7

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

131.68 ₴

at 18.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.38 ₴ +60.23 (+27.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

160.34 ₴

at 26.72

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

18.29 ₴

at 18.29

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Blush Pour

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

56.44 ₴

at 18.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 235.06 ₴ +1.06 (+0.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 57%
Losing outcome 12%
About break-even 31%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

591.61 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

280.88 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

262.89 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

263.14 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

80.17 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

373.32 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

238.32 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

46.36 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +40.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +63.65 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2843721 · The Radiant Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 91.27₴ · invest 233.05₴
MP9 | Spy Prototype (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076392 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.005593 instead of 0.004420
Craft 2843698 · The Radiant Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 90.98₴ · invest 206.21₴
pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2816670 · The Arabesque Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 89.77₴ · invest 233.15₴
FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076392 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.005593 instead of 0.004420
Craft 2843615 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 81.89₴ · invest 211.74₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested), SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074660 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004078 instead of 0.004420
Craft 2843100 · The Prisma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 79.44₴ · invest 215.22₴
P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074613 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004037 instead of 0.004420
Craft 2842376 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 73.04₴ · invest 262.37₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075153 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004509 instead of 0.004420
Craft 2830662 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 72.97₴ · invest 206.41₴
SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076392 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 1; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.005593 instead of 0.004420
Craft 2842377 · The Phoenix Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 70.77₴ · invest 240.79₴
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076491 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.005680 instead of 0.004420
Craft 2821699 · The CS20 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 70.39₴ · invest 226.68₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075457 instead of 0.075052; M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): float at most 0.004775 instead of 0.004420

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build