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The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +111.55₽

Invest 186.63₽

Average return 298.18₽

ROI +59.8%

Chance of profit 83%

With float: invest at least 433.87 ₽, profit at most −135.69 ₽

float premium: at least 237 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

18.23 ₽

at 18.23

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

73.36 ₽

at 18.34

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

18.40 ₽

at 18.40

Steam

×4

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

76.64 ₽

at 19.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.63 ₽ +111.55 (+59.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

128.38 ₽

at 18.34

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

35.65 ₽

at 35.65

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

18.40 ₽

at 18.40

Steam

×1

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

19.16 ₽

at 19.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 201.59 ₽ +134.82 (+66.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

18.23 ₽

at 18.23

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

36.68 ₽

at 18.34

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

73.60 ₽

at 18.40

Steam

×3

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

57.48 ₽

at 19.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.99 ₽ +86.70 (+46.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

18.23 ₽

at 18.23

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

128.80 ₽

at 18.40

Steam

×2

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

38.32 ₽

at 19.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.35 ₽ +61.85 (+33.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

36.68 ₽

at 18.34

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

110.40 ₽

at 18.40

Steam

×2

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

38.32 ₽

at 19.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 185.40 ₽ +74.54 (+40.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 83%
Losing outcome 17%

in profit

best

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

470.65 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

361.73 ₽ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

406.75 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

163.41 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.261428

238.71 ₽ 16.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 18.23 → 39.38 ₽

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 73.36 → 173.50 ₽

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 18.40 → 39.74 ₽

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) × 4 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 76.64 → 181.25 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.214285614

outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.149999, 0.214285, 0.261428

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +75.70 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +96.98 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2837904 · The Harlequin Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 130.08₽ · invest 203.75₽
pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested), P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161649 instead of 0.162091; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161649 instead of 0.162091
Craft 2837645 · The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 122.74₽ · invest 183.19₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162163 instead of 0.162091; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162163 instead of 0.162091
Craft 2835921 · The Genesis Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 121.54₽ · invest 155.41₽
P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091
Craft 2824310 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 120.80₽ · invest 190.32₽
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162053 instead of 0.162091; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 4; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162053 instead of 0.162091
Craft 2828537 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 119.30₽ · invest 158.05₽
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091
Craft 2832838 · The Fracture Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 110.37₽ · invest 152.83₽
PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091
Craft 2830556 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 107.28₽ · invest 163.90₽
SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 1; Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091; UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161606 instead of 0.162091
Craft 2821433 · The CS20 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 104.35₽ · invest 434.05₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested), XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested), FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested); AWP | Exothermic: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; USP-S | Sleeping Potion: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build