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The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +65.58$

Invest 66.41$

Average return 131.98$

ROI +98.8%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 165.43 $, profit at most −33.44 $

float premium: at least 97 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

9.77 $

at 9.77

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4690

5.49 $

at 5.49

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

51.14 $

at 6.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.41 $ +65.58 (+98.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

58.62 $

at 9.77

Steam

×2

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0846

23.00 $

at 11.50

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

12.79 $

at 6.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.40 $ +2.04 (+2.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

100.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.23 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

76.45 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.251749

122.01 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +46.02 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +61.72 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2843532 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 71.54$ · invest 67.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.467893 instead of 0.469075; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161758 instead of 0.162535
Craft 2835511 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 70.23$ · invest 69.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.469488 instead of 0.469075; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162806 instead of 0.162535
Craft 2825411 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 64.83$ · invest 70.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.469015 instead of 0.469075; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162495 instead of 0.162535

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build