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The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +6.44$

Invest 44.16$

Average return 50.59$

ROI +14.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 110.96 $, profit at most −60.37 $

float premium: at least 64 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1783

33.14 $

at 3.68

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1783

11.02 $

at 11.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44.16 $ +6.44 (+14.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

45.93 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

60.87 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Field-Tested

float up to 0.176470

103.40 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097647

99.02 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 only The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.46 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.42 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2835558 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.66$ · invest 46.36$
rare inputs

P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166681 instead of 0.178313
Craft 2843949 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 6.52$ · invest 41.48$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174531 instead of 0.178313
Craft 2823562 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.43$ · invest 47.15$
Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163440 instead of 0.178313

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build