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The Safehouse Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +156.41₴

Invest 361.44₴

Average return 517.85₴

ROI +43.3%

Chance of profit 98%

With float: invest at least 910.75 ₴, profit at most −392.90 ₴

float premium: at least 517 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

276.66 ₴

at 30.74

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

84.78 ₴

at 84.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 361.44 ₴ +156.41 (+43.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −595 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

122.96 ₴

at 30.74

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

84.78 ₴

at 84.78

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

571.95 ₴

at 114.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 779.69 ₴ +22.39 (+2.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −466 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

153.70 ₴

at 30.74

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

84.78 ₴

at 84.78

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

457.56 ₴

at 114.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 696.04 ₴ +49.20 (+7.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −336 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

184.44 ₴

at 30.74

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

84.78 ₴

at 84.78

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

343.17 ₴

at 114.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 612.39 ₴ +76.00 (+12.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −206 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

215.18 ₴

at 30.74

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

84.78 ₴

at 84.78

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Torn

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

228.78 ₴

at 114.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 528.74 ₴ +102.81 (+19.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 2%

in profit

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

530.15 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

3 592.45 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

worst

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.009459

403.35 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

501.23 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

815.33 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

607.09 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Safehouse Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 only The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.18 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +98.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Safehouse Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2845171 · The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 169.23₴ · invest 451.27₴
outcome without sales rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005431 instead of 0.004171
Craft 2815313 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 163.17₴ · invest 457.08₴
outcome without sales rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005011 instead of 0.004171

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Safehouse Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build