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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −14 605.55₸

Invest at least 40 856.43₸

Average return 26 250.89₸

ROI −35.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 40 856.43 ₸, profit at most −14 605.55 ₸

float premium: at least 23 306 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

7 959.00 ₸

at 1 137.00

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

4 976.06 ₸

at 2 488.03

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

4 427.72 ₸

at 4 427.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 362.79 ₸ +8 888.10 (+51.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −870 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

7 959.00 ₸

at 1 137.00

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

2 488.03 ₸

at 2 488.03

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

8 855.44 ₸

at 4 427.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 302.47 ₸ +7 328.79 (+38.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 980 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

732.59 ₸

at 732.59

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5 685.00 ₸

at 1 137.00

Steam

×4

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

17 710.88 ₸

at 4 427.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24 128.47 ₸ +3 263.54 (+13.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 508 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1 465.18 ₸

at 732.59

Steam

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

3 411.00 ₸

at 1 137.00

Steam

×5

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

22 138.60 ₸

at 4 427.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 014.78 ₸ +757.60 (+2.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 873.27 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

21 230.55 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

13 149.53 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.023529

33 853.17 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

45 871.51 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.042352

22 651.52 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 739.95 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 696.96 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2845330 · The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 9 525.53₸ · invest 15 657.37₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078348 instead of 0.078488; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007427
Craft 2817059 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 380.26₸ · invest 16 762.03₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075739 instead of 0.078488; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005022 instead of 0.007427
Craft 2845349 · The Shadow Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 9 268.82₸ · invest 16 021.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)
Craft 2818159 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 153.84₸ · invest 15 347.74₸
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078708 instead of 0.078488; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007619 instead of 0.007427

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build